Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 518.393964 551.085228 585.041204 623.002983 664.329509 708.033488 757.847890
2026-01-25 476.962106 522.196162 571.073603 628.024886 692.827505 764.582734 850.479828
2026-02-01 448.791102 502.333028 561.944155 633.653791 718.135678 815.195661 936.151658
2026-02-08 427.995100 487.766250 555.967497 640.221051 742.444212 863.672604 1020.167132
2026-02-15 408.191590 472.233329 546.827409 641.080682 758.364614 901.355047 1091.800055
2026-02-22 391.255039 458.609702 538.492469 641.467394 772.542928 936.413377 1161.043841
2026-03-01 377.898662 448.263909 533.105817 644.509848 789.343377 974.754153 1236.004630
2026-03-08 364.154339 436.525676 525.071610 643.272125 799.899534 1004.786421 1300.913936
2026-03-15 352.718658 426.980664 519.091294 643.977033 812.491874 1037.551647 1370.980079
2026-03-22 341.935282 417.667237 512.792556 643.640402 823.222635 1067.812539 1438.843054
2026-03-29 332.212570 409.220492 507.099741 643.584686 833.956618 1098.174741 1508.296381
2026-04-05 324.683198 403.249411 504.274699 647.056267 849.439353 1135.690344 1590.493042
2026-04-12 316.310448 395.841829 499.211634 647.149460 860.026828 1166.554329 1664.551647
2026-04-19 310.477470 391.548201 498.077545 652.509336 878.218746 1209.334440 1760.056503
2026-04-26 305.248970 387.824197 497.483747 658.453019 897.333482 1254.280966 1862.057625
2026-05-03 300.694283 384.806060 497.663656 665.371447 918.030879 1302.555208 1972.946017
2026-05-10 294.398543 379.146941 493.896201 666.277723 929.491968 1336.739028 2062.159131
2026-05-17 288.304793 373.545438 489.964754 666.685184 940.043167 1369.812026 2151.652195
2026-05-24 283.434242 369.476364 488.023746 669.888723 954.956261 1410.590746 2257.867368
2026-05-31 277.430090 363.607014 483.268126 668.585486 962.543693 1439.458672 2344.270914
2026-06-07 272.345682 358.880204 479.981522 669.327715 973.328316 1474.122920 2444.106508
2026-06-14 267.187127 353.885733 476.117913 668.973263 982.203723 1505.837042 2540.649200
2026-06-21 262.355351 349.216519 472.564224 668.914598 991.464955 1538.579462 2641.746142